Conflict Zone Asia-Pacific // Konfliktzone Fernost

Conflict Zone Asia-Pacific // Konfliktzone Fernost

Conflict Zone Asia-Pacific //  Konfliktzone Fernost - Cover
28. Jun. 2018
Heinrich Böll Foundation
For free
Place of Publication: Berlin
Date of Publication: June 2018
Number of Pages: 65
License: CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0
Language of Publication: German / English

The effects of the current global power shift are most visible in the Asia-Pacific region: China’s rise and the unclear future of the U.S. alliance system in the region raise a number of foreign and security policy issues that have both regional and global dimensions. The 19th Foreign Policy Conference of the Heinrich Böll Foundation will focus on these questions and ask:

How resilient are U.S. security guarantees in the Asia-Pacific region? Which new alliances and dependencies could emerge in the Indo-Pacific and East Asia in response to China’s rise and America’s possible retreat? Are there limits to the regional arms race in Asia, or would a nuclear-armed Japan and South Korea be conceivable? Is the Asia-Pacific region heading toward a wider conflict that could involve external powers such as the U.S. and possibly also its European allies? Do Europe and the U.S. have common interests in the region and should Europe play a more active role there?

This reader summarizes the discussion and gives possible answers to the above mentioned questions.


Table of contents:

Preface // Vorwort 4


Chapter 1: Setting the Stage // Ausgangslage 6

Rory Medcalf: Managing strategic competition in the Indo-Pacific: How to avoid replacing onehegemony with another 7

Zhou Qi: The Sino-US strategic game and the prospect of bilateral relations 12

Reinhard Bütikofer: Angesichts der Veränderungen in Chinas Außenpolitik: EU sucht stärkere Sicherheitskooperation in und mit Asien 17


Chapter 2: Conflict and Escalation // Krisenherde 21

Mathieu Duchâtel: Assessing the risk of military escalation in East Asian hotspots 22

Zha Daojiong: Competition without conflict: Security in the Asia Pacific 27

Chiew-Ping Hoo: Ongoing, frozen and looming conflicts in the Asia-Pacific: A Southeast Asian Perspective 32


Chapter 3: Crisis Management // Krisenmanagement 37

Jürgen Trittin: It’s the economy, stupid – Investitionen als Geostrategie 38

Harald Müller: Bündniswechsel – ein radikales Gedankenexperiment zum Koreakonflikt 42

Angela Stanzel: Strategic alignments in the Indo-Pacific 48


Chapter 4: North Korea // Nordkorea 51

Mark Fitzpatrick: If US-North Korea talks fail, nuclear pro-liferation in Northeast Asia may escalate 52

Ulrich Kühn: Last to escape, first to disarm? Three scenarios of peace and war on the Korean Peninsula 56

Bernt Berger: Promoting Peace on the Korean Peninsula: Departure Points for Europe 61


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