The US elections 2024

The election of Donald Trump as the 47th President of the USA and the Republican majority in both Chambers of Congress will have far-reaching consequences both domestically and internationally. What will the result mean for transatlantic relations, Europe's security architecture, and international efforts on climate action? The Heinrich Böll Foundation delves into these critical questions from a Green and European perspective, offering analyses and insights into the challenges and opportunities of the post-election landscape.

Illustration: US Flagge im Hintergrund, im Vordergrund eine Wahlurne und zwei Hände - eine von Links kommend und eine von Rechts mit Wahlzettel — Image credits

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Current comments and analyses

Eine Person wirft einen Stimmzettel in eine durchsichtige Wahlurne. Im Vordergrund stehen zwei kleine US-Flaggen. Weitere Personen sind im Hintergrund.

Third-party voters could tip the election against Harris

As American voters have become more firmly entrenched in their party affiliations, fewer and fewer states are in contention and the margins of victory are increasingly slim. This year, polls suggest that in the handful of swing states that will determine the race, the winner could be decided by a razor-thin margin. Votes for third party candidates could be enough to tip the election – most likely, in favor of Donald Trump.

Foto von Kamala Harris

Continuity or sea change? What to expect from Kamala Harris on foreign policy

No consistent picture has emerged yet as to how Kamala Harris would shape her foreign policy if she ends up being the next US president. Her time as Vice President gives at least some hints on how she might deal with China, the war in Ukraine, and policy in the Middle East.

Publications

Cover: US elections and European cohesion Scenarios for green transitions and transatlantic climate action

US Elections and European Cohesion: Scenarios for Green Transitions and Transatlantic Climate Action

Policy Paper

The choice at the US ballot box will be a stark one for climate policies. This paper explores how the EU and its member states could adjust their climate policies, depending on the outcome of the US election.

By Rachel Tausendfreund , Mareike Moraal and Loyle Campbell

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Cover: US elections and European cohesion Scenario implications for Ukraine and transatlantic security

US Elections and European Cohesion: Scenario Implications for Ukraine and Transatlantic Security

Policy Paper

The fate of Ukraine’s battlefield will be decided at the US ballot box. This paper explores how the European Union and its Member States could adjust their Ukraine and NATO policies, depending on the outcome of the US election.

By Rachel Tausendfreund and Roderick Kefferpütz

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More on the topic of US elections

Foto von Jan Philipp Albrecht, Vorstand Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung

More Good Humour Please! In Praise of a Politics of Joy

President's column

With fresh language and contagious good cheer, US presidential candidate Kamala Harris and the Democratic Party are generating new enthusiasm for their policies. Could that also catch on here in Germany? One thing is clear: without a positive atmosphere, democratic politics in the country will face an uphill battle.

By Jan Philipp Albrecht

Während Vizepräsident Joe Biden zuschaut, hält US-Außenminister John Kerry eine Rede zum Start der Partnerschaft "100.000 Strong in the Americas" im US-Außenministerium in Washington, D.C.

"Build Back Greener? "Biden's Plan for America's International Climate Commitment

"Build back better" has been Joe Biden’s campaign promise. Climate policy is central to this, both in domestic and foreign policy. Ultimately, it is also a question of whether the Biden government can succeed in regaining lost credibility on the international stage.

By Liane Schalatek

Weißes Haus 2020 nach der Wahl

US election 2020: Of winning a victory for liberal democracy - and inheriting a pile of rubble

The election of Joe Biden and Kamala Harris is a significant victory for liberal democracy in the US and for a policy of compassion and cooperation. At the same time, the new government is facing a political pile of rubble full of enormous challenges.

By Bastian Hermisson

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