Dossier: Afghanistan’s Transition in the Making? People, Perceptions and the Politics of 2014

Dossier: Afghanistan’s Transition in the Making? People, Perceptions and the Politics of 2014

Photo: Afghanistan Matters/ USAID Afghanistan/ Collage: Monique Meyer. Creative Commons License LogoThis image is licensed under Creative Commons License.

2014 is viewed as one of the most important years since the Afghan transition process began, over a decade ago. Step by step, over the last decade, the war-torn country has progressed towards sovereign democracy. Now, and ongoing until the end of the year, security will become an Afghan responsibility, as Western troops are being drawn down. More importantly, the first presidential and provincial elections autonomously organised within the country, will present a further important step within the political transition process.

The end of 2014 is meant to mark the beginning of Afghanistan’s next period of transformation. However, what is the true meaning of this crucial year 2014 for Afghans themselves?

Will the upcoming elections result in the consolidation of traditional hierarchies – or will they be a step towards greater participation and more public involvement in democratic decision-making processes? Will the withdrawal of foreign troops lead to the return of insecurity and the hardening of old rivalries – or will the outcome be an Afghanistan that is a sovereign player within its region? Will the decrease of international funding result in the collapse of the Afghan state and economy – or will it be the first step towards less corruption, less mismanagement? Finally, will the lessening of international political interference cause the decline of democratic values – or will it trigger the rise of a confident young and politically active group of Afghan political actors?

The Heinrich Böll Foundation's new dossier on Afghanistan will provide analyses, profiles, interviews, as well as studies that will shed light on the events of what is an important year for Afghanistan and the region as a whole. Through their analyses, comments, and insights, Afghan, German, and international civil society activist, scientists, journalists, and politicians will provide critical and nuanced information about the political project underway in and for Afghanistan.

From Transition To Transformation

Photo: US Botschaft in Kabul/ Afghanistan Matters / Collage: Monique Meyer . Creative Commons License LogoThis image is licensed under Creative Commons License.

Firm steps to a better future

Young people are an energetic portion of a society. They can get involved in political activism. They can also contribute to the fight against corruption, insecurity, and factors such as nepotism to establish a better government.

Examining Afghanistan's electoral results

What can we make out of a deadlocked electoral result, with seemingly contradictory stories from the candidates? A graphical analysis shows: Ghani's second round numerical victory was brought about by finding 1.3 million new votes and depositing them in key spots.

By Renard Sexton

Afghans Find Their Way

The international community will play an important but secondary role in Afghanistan’s future as Afghans work to create a more sustainable state through strengthening their political consensus, , building their economy, and increasing security.

By Caroline Wadhams

Afghanistan: Progress - Success - Failure

Afghanistan is on its way to becoming a forgotten and irritating issue. Nevertheless, we should think again about how it all began and to what extent the expectations in the military intervention of 2001 have been fulfilled.

By Michael Daxner

How to win an Afghan election

Even though Afghanistan has a long track record of ballot stuffing, electoral fraud, and general impunity for well-connected and well-armed lawbreakers, there are limits to the lengths to which a candidate may go in seeking victory. To win in an Afghan election, one must engage in large scale vote-buying, collusion or corruption.

By Renard Sexton

Natural ressources, conflict and development

Photo: Afghanistan Matters, Collage: Monique Meyer. Creative Commons License LogoThis image is licensed under Creative Commons License.

Afghanistan's wasted potential

The country’s natural resources, especially its abundance of water, could bring great benefits to the Afghans – but only if the right conditions can be achieved. A summary of "Afghanistan's Transition in the Making?"

By Stefan Schaaf

Archive: Afghanistan-Dossier 2011

Afghanistan 2011: 10 Years of International Engagement

After ten years of international involvement in Afghanistan, a second conference will take plan in Bonn this December 2011 to discuss the country’s future. Since 2002, the Heinrich Böll Foundation has actively supported the development of civil society in Afghanistan and has promoted exchanges between the German and Afghan public. The following dossier provides a venue for comments, analysis and debate ahead of the Bonn Conference on Afghanistan.

Dossier: Afghanistan‘s Transition in the Making

2014 is viewed as one of the most important years since the Afghan transition process began, over a decade ago. Western troops are being drawn down and more importantly, the first presidential and provincial elections autonomously organised within the country, will present a further important step within the political transition process. This dossier provides analyses, profiles, interviews, as well as studies that will shed light on the events of what is an important year for Afghanistan.

Interviews

Interviews: New political visions of Afghanistan

Rahe-Madanyat (Civilization Way Weekly) is a non- partisan and independent weekly magazine established in 2012 by a group of young talented journalist, writers and university lecturers in Afghanistan. Since January 2014, Rahe Madanyat is conducting a series of weekly interviews to portrait young political leaders. This web dossier will publish English and German translations of the interviews regularly until December 2014.

Publications

Policy Brief: Afghanistan's Parliament in the Making

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After more than a decade of an international intervention and close to the proclaimed second post-2014 transition phase, women's political participation remains precarious and volatile in Afghanistan despite inroads made. Women activists and lawmakers demand due diligence for promises made, inroads built, spaces carved out and steps to be taken to ensure a more peaceful post-2014 Afghanistan.

Afghan Women Vision 2024

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On March 8th, 2014 the Afghan Women's Network (AWN) in Kabul and in all 34 provinces has launched the "Women Vision 2024" paper. The paper has been developed through consultation meetings of leading women rights activists and has been consulted with women in all 34 provinces of the country.